Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.006247 0.007168 0.008241 0.009597 0.011288 0.013359 0.016138
2026-01-18 0.005040 0.006173 0.007624 0.009672 0.012587 0.016747 0.023482
2026-01-25 0.004247 0.005412 0.006997 0.009404 0.013156 0.019166 0.030518
2026-02-01 0.003648 0.004775 0.006374 0.008933 0.013205 0.020696 0.036830
2026-02-08 0.003202 0.004278 0.005855 0.008483 0.013122 0.021911 0.043239
2026-02-15 0.002983 0.004075 0.005731 0.008623 0.014067 0.025388 0.057461
2026-02-22 0.002734 0.003795 0.005445 0.008428 0.014325 0.027534 0.070295
2026-03-01 0.002507 0.003525 0.005140 0.008142 0.014326 0.029097 0.083178
2026-03-08 0.002327 0.003310 0.004901 0.007935 0.014439 0.031001 0.100137
2026-03-15 0.002246 0.003246 0.004906 0.008188 0.015630 0.036445 0.143672
2026-03-22 0.002190 0.003216 0.004963 0.008552 0.017191 0.044056 0.225047
2026-03-29 0.002149 0.003206 0.005055 0.009002 0.019126 0.054584 0.394645
2026-04-05 0.002038 0.003076 0.004927 0.008995 0.019954 0.062251 0.634803
2026-04-12 0.001940 0.002961 0.004818 0.009019 0.020922 0.071957 1.161835
2026-04-19 0.001822 0.002803 0.004608 0.008773 0.020988 0.077481 1.887894
2026-04-26 0.001697 0.002622 0.004338 0.008345 0.020352 0.078614 2.617511
2026-05-03 0.001585 0.002459 0.004089 0.007936 0.019674 0.079096 3.620608
2026-05-10 0.001536 0.002406 0.004059 0.008063 0.020904 0.094119 15.305219
2026-05-17 0.001463 0.002304 0.003917 0.007885 0.020982 0.101273 65.015866
2026-05-24 0.001387 0.002194 0.003751 0.007625 0.020679 0.105202 560.023805
2026-05-31 0.001324 0.002103 0.003619 0.007436 0.020611 0.111564 NaN
2026-06-07 0.001301 0.002086 0.003641 0.007667 0.022342 0.140635 NaN
2026-06-14 0.001286 0.002085 0.003696 0.007999 0.024701 0.188293 NaN